Most pick sellers hide their losses. We log every call the moment we make it.
An AI-powered, market-anchored model for NFL, college football, and fantasy that turns thousands of data points into simple A/B/C picks and start/sit calls — every prediction logged and graded the moment it's made, so nothing gets quietly hidden.
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Get the model’s free pick before kickoff — every game day.
One free, graded pick to your inbox, plus yesterday’s result so you can watch the record build in real time. No spam, unsubscribe any time.
No abstractions — a real sample of the board
Curated best bets and your model’s number next to the live Vegas line, on every game, in the exact format members see. The two picks below are real, graded wins pulled from the archive — the complete, unedited win-and-loss record lives on the Track Record page.
Game Bets
Game Bets
KC favored, 56% — based on the model’s projected scoring margin (see MODEL spread/total above).
odds as of 10/19/2026, 10:01:49 AM
BUF favored, 60% — based on the model’s projected scoring margin (see MODEL spread/total above).
odds as of 10/19/2026, 10:01:49 AM
Compare Players
Head-to-head start/sit for this week.
Start Josh Allen — 59% to outscore Jalen Hurts this week (2.7 pt projected margin).
Model vs. Vegas
Our line next to the live DraftKings number, every game.
Curated A/B/C picks
The 3–4 highest-confidence plays per game, one list.
Rankings + start/sit calculator
Weekly projections with floors & ceilings, plus a head-to-head calculator that gives the % chance one player outscores another — so you know exactly who to start.
Model vs. market
Every market ranked by edge. Monthly & Season.
An AI-powered model — not a hot take
Every projection comes from a model that ingests thousands of data points every week — every snap, target, carry, line move, injury, and weather read — trained and back-tested on years of NFL results, drawn from the data sources the analytics industry trusts. The same engine powers your fantasy edge: weekly projections with floors and ceilings, positional rankings, and a head-to-head start/sit calculator that tells you the exact odds one player outscores another this week.
Why it's different
Market-anchored
NFL lines are sharp. We model from the stats, blend the market in, and surface the disagreements — instead of pretending we beat Vegas on every game.
Honest about edges
A big number usually means the model has less information, not that the market is wrong. We show the pick and our confidence — never dress up noise as a lock.
Graded, not hidden
Every call is logged the moment it's made, in an append-only record members can audit — scored on closing-line value and hit rate over large samples. No quietly deleting the losers.
Simple plans. No free tier, no ads.
Sample a free pick on social; unlock the full board when you're ready.
Start the season sharp.
No free tier, no ads — just the model, curated picks, fantasy start/sit, and a complete, unedited track record the moment you join.